Pre-tourney Rankings
Ohio St.
Big Ten
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.1#69
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#53
Pace69.6#186
Improvement+0.1#173

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#119
First Shot+2.3#107
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#189
Layup/Dunks+2.4#77
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#213
Freethrows-0.3#193
Improvement+0.2#171

Defense
Total Defense+5.9#38
First Shot+6.1#27
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#194
Layups/Dunks+3.1#52
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#118
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#160
Freethrows+1.7#63
Improvement-0.1#193
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 14.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four12.8% n/a n/a
First Round7.2% n/a n/a
Second Round2.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2015 262   Mount St. Mary's W 76-54 94%     1 - 0 +12.9 +4.6 +8.9
  Nov 17, 2015 346   Grambling St. W 82-55 98%     2 - 0 +8.8 +3.8 +5.0
  Nov 20, 2015 107   Texas Arlington L 68-73 74%     2 - 1 -3.5 -2.0 -1.5
  Nov 24, 2015 161   Louisiana Tech L 74-82 85%     2 - 2 -10.8 +0.2 -11.1
  Nov 27, 2015 71   Memphis L 76-81 OT 51%     2 - 3 +2.9 -4.6 +8.4
  Dec 01, 2015 4   Virginia L 58-64 20%     2 - 4 +10.8 +5.9 +3.5
  Dec 05, 2015 304   VMI W 89-62 96%     3 - 4 +14.7 +8.2 +5.9
  Dec 08, 2015 237   Air Force W 74-50 92%     4 - 4 +16.5 -2.5 +18.5
  Dec 12, 2015 29   @ Connecticut L 55-75 23%     4 - 5 -4.1 -7.2 +2.7
  Dec 16, 2015 163   Northern Illinois W 67-54 85%     5 - 5 +9.8 -6.3 +15.8
  Dec 19, 2015 7   Kentucky W 74-67 17%     6 - 5 +25.1 +4.7 +20.3
  Dec 22, 2015 190   Mercer W 64-44 88%     7 - 5 +15.3 -12.3 +27.7
  Dec 27, 2015 272   South Carolina St. W 73-57 94%     8 - 5 +6.0 -5.7 +12.1
  Dec 30, 2015 176   Minnesota W 78-63 86%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +11.3 +5.5 +5.8
  Jan 03, 2016 109   Illinois W 75-73 75%     10 - 5 2 - 0 +3.0 +0.4 +2.6
  Jan 06, 2016 65   @ Northwestern W 65-56 38%     11 - 5 3 - 0 +20.2 -1.5 +21.9
  Jan 10, 2016 13   @ Indiana L 60-85 15%     11 - 6 3 - 1 -6.0 -7.0 +1.2
  Jan 13, 2016 271   Rutgers W 94-68 94%     12 - 6 4 - 1 +16.1 +8.6 +4.9
  Jan 16, 2016 22   @ Maryland L 65-100 18%     12 - 7 4 - 2 -17.3 -3.7 -11.3
  Jan 21, 2016 9   @ Purdue L 64-75 14%     12 - 8 4 - 3 +9.0 +5.2 +3.0
  Jan 25, 2016 120   Penn St. W 66-46 78%     13 - 8 5 - 3 +20.1 -3.4 +23.9
  Jan 28, 2016 109   @ Illinois W 68-63 OT 55%     14 - 8 6 - 3 +11.8 -6.6 +18.1
  Jan 31, 2016 22   Maryland L 61-66 36%     14 - 9 6 - 4 +6.9 -1.8 +8.3
  Feb 04, 2016 33   @ Wisconsin L 68-79 26%     14 - 10 6 - 5 +3.8 +10.3 -7.5
  Feb 09, 2016 65   Northwestern W 71-63 61%     15 - 10 7 - 5 +13.3 +7.9 +6.3
  Feb 13, 2016 271   @ Rutgers W 79-69 87%     16 - 10 8 - 5 +5.9 -1.2 +6.2
  Feb 16, 2016 42   Michigan W 76-66 51%     17 - 10 9 - 5 +17.9 +7.7 +10.6
  Feb 20, 2016 79   @ Nebraska W 65-62 OT 43%     18 - 10 10 - 5 +12.9 -3.3 +16.3
  Feb 23, 2016 2   Michigan St. L 62-81 19%     18 - 11 10 - 6 -1.6 +4.5 -8.9
  Feb 28, 2016 21   Iowa W 68-64 35%     19 - 11 11 - 6 +16.0 +1.0 +15.0
  Mar 05, 2016 2   @ Michigan St. L 76-91 9%     19 - 12 11 - 7 +8.2 +11.6 -3.3
  Mar 10, 2016 120   Penn St. W 79-75 69%     20 - 12 +7.0 +6.6 +0.2
  Mar 11, 2016 2   Michigan St. L 54-81 13%     20 - 13 -6.7 -8.1 +0.0
Projected Record 20.0 - 13.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 14.4% 14.4% 11.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 11.6 1.6 0.0 85.6 14.4%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.4% 0.0% 14.4% 11.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 11.6 1.6 0.0 85.6 14.4%